CryptoPunk #1533 valuation (beta)
Male, Headband, Cigarette.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 36.0 ETH (about $81,807). 1σ range 32.7 to 39.6 ETH, 2σ range 29.7 to 43.6 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 36.0 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.7 to 39.6 ETH, 2σ range 29.7 to 43.6 ETH, confidence High, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1424 2026-10-20: 53.0 ETH (50.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7463 2026-02-26: 30.9 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7463 2026-02-19: 31.9 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7463 2026-02-12: 33.0 ETH (33.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1613 2025-09-24: 48.8 ETH (31.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1613 2025-09-22: 44.0 ETH (28.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7463 2025-07-20: 46.0 ETH (29.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7463 2025-07-16: 43.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-12-22: 3.75 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-13: 6.30 ETH (sale)
- 2021-09-30: 123 ETH (sale)
- 2021-10-15: 122 ETH (sale)
- 2022-11-29: 80.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-03-21: 65.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-11-09: 58.0 ETH (sale)
- 2024-01-24: 66.0 ETH (sale)
- 2024-01-31: 63.0 ETH (sale)
- 2024-02-29: 63.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.