CryptoPunk #1557 valuation (beta)
Male, Muttonchops, Knitted Cap.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 32.6 ETH (about $74,223). 1σ range 30.1 to 35.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.8 to 38.3 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 998 ETH, 42.7σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 32.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.1 to 35.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.8 to 38.3 ETH, confidence High, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Muttonchops -9%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3359 2026-07-04: 33.0 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9516 2025-10-01: 46.5 ETH (29.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9516 2025-09-29: 46.0 ETH (29.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6117 2025-08-08: 53.5 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9516 2025-07-21: 49.0 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5870 2025-01-13: 40.0 ETH (33.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6117 2024-11-15: 36.0 ETH (28.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3391 2026-11-02: 30.0 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-07-18: 0.31 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-08-27: 93.5 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.