CryptoPunk #1561 valuation (beta)
Female, Hot Lipstick, Mole, Earring, Clown Hair Green.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.7 ETH (about $74,335). 1σ range 29.1 to 32.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.5 to 34.2 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.1 to 32.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.5 to 34.2 ETH, confidence Low, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (440 sales, 12 months).
- No attribute of this punk has a clear premium in recent sales, so the estimate is the type multiple.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 4+ sales landed within ±3.4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.5% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2120 2026-06-28: 100 ETH (93.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6340 2025-07-21: 52.0 ETH (33.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6340 2025-07-21: 49.4 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2202 2024-12-04: 125 ETH (85.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3190 2026-10-20: 29.0 ETH (28.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6239 2026-10-15: 31.9 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3976 2026-10-09: 30.0 ETH (29.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #1452 2026-09-23: 35.0 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-03-15: 28.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-02: 16.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-08: 21.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-08: 23.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-01-29: 84.9 ETH (sale)
- 2022-01-31: 84.9 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.