CryptoPunk #1586 valuation (beta)
Male, Crazy Hair, Horned Rim Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 36.8 ETH (about $83,682). 1σ range 33.2 to 40.8 ETH, 2σ range 30.0 to 45.2 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 36.8 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.2 to 40.8 ETH, 2σ range 30.0 to 45.2 ETH, confidence High, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #6066 2026-10-21: 60.0 ETH (57.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3186 2025-11-10: 34.5 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6066 2025-07-30: 62.0 ETH (34.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6066 2025-04-09: 46.5 ETH (32.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #705 2025-03-04: 41.0 ETH (34.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6066 2025-01-21: 45.5 ETH (36.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6066 2025-01-15: 45.0 ETH (33.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9216 2026-10-30: 31.3 ETH (32.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2018-01-10: 0.09 ETH (sale)
- 2020-11-30: 2.60 ETH (sale)
- 2020-12-22: 3.40 ETH (sale)
- 2020-12-25: 4.80 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-26: 24.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-03-29: 26.0 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.