CryptoPunk #1646 valuation (beta)
Male, Luxurious Beard, Earring, Knitted Cap.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 37.2 ETH (about $90,244). 1σ range 33.5 to 41.4 ETH, 2σ range 30.1 to 46.1 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 37.2 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.5 to 41.4 ETH, 2σ range 30.1 to 46.1 ETH, confidence High, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Earring -2%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8965 2025-03-05: 50.0 ETH (40.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4034 2024-11-14: 46.0 ETH (42.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2473 2026-10-31: 38.0 ETH (38.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4202 2026-10-29: 40.0 ETH (41.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4714 2026-09-24: 39.9 ETH (36.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #1941 2026-09-23: 60.5 ETH (54.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #1839 2026-09-04: 162 ETH (160 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9478 2026-08-24: 47.0 ETH (44.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2018-10-29: 0.20 ETH (sale)
- 2023-10-11: 53.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-10-24: 54.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.