CryptoPunk #1778 valuation (beta)
Male, Muttonchops, Do-rag.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.9 ETH (about $70,147). 1σ range 28.4 to 33.5 ETH, 2σ range 26.1 to 36.5 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 28.4 to 33.5 ETH, 2σ range 26.1 to 36.5 ETH, confidence High, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Muttonchops -9%, Do-rag -6%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3797 2026-09-21: 29.9 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3797 2026-09-05: 30.5 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7377 2026-09-05: 31.5 ETH (31.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6508 2026-04-17: 27.9 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6508 2026-04-12: 26.7 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6508 2026-04-11: 28.4 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7377 2026-02-05: 29.9 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8627 2026-01-27: 28.5 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2018-06-08: 0.07 ETH (sale)
- 2021-03-05: 21.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-03-06: 16.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-04-25: 20.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.