CryptoPunk #1781 valuation (beta)
Male, Normal Beard, Headband.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 36.8 ETH (about $83,682). 1σ range 33.2 to 40.8 ETH, 2σ range 30.0 to 45.2 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 36.8 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.2 to 40.8 ETH, 2σ range 30.0 to 45.2 ETH, confidence High, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #5559 2026-09-21: 30.5 ETH (29.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1812 2026-05-14: 34.5 ETH (34.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1812 2026-04-01: 31.1 ETH (33.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1812 2026-04-01: 31.1 ETH (33.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1812 2026-02-05: 34.0 ETH (34.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1812 2025-09-01: 45.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1812 2025-07-13: 46.3 ETH (32.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1812 2025-06-24: 42.0 ETH (31.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-12-12: 2.80 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-12: 23.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-14: 32.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-23: 67.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-27: 99.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-09-29: 125 ETH (sale)
- 2021-12-09: 71.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-12-24: 70.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-01-22: 80.9 ETH (sale)
- 2022-02-03: 82.5 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.