CryptoPunk #1816 valuation (beta)
Female, Blonde Short, Cigarette.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 29.1 ETH (about $70,587). 1σ range 27.5 to 30.9 ETH, 2σ range 25.9 to 32.7 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 88.0 ETH, 19.0σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 29.1 ETH (beta), 1σ range 27.5 to 30.9 ETH, 2σ range 25.9 to 32.7 ETH, confidence Low, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (440 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Blonde Short -3%, Cigarette -2%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8605 2025-08-09: 55.9 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2222 2024-12-15: 38.5 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #874 2026-10-30: 28.9 ETH (30.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2278 2026-10-30: 27.1 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4140 2026-10-24: 31.3 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2994 2026-10-20: 29.0 ETH (28.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3859 2026-10-08: 36.0 ETH (33.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4075 2026-10-08: 31.5 ETH (29.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
None on record.
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.