CryptoPunk #1828 valuation (beta)
Female, Black Lipstick, Earring, Blonde Bob.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.9 ETH (about $77,310). 1σ range 30.2 to 33.7 ETH, 2σ range 28.5 to 35.7 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 100 ETH, 20.5σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.2 to 33.7 ETH, 2σ range 28.5 to 35.7 ETH, confidence Low, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (440 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +4%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1721 2026-11-03: 33.8 ETH (33.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2131 2026-09-01: 31.7 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2131 2026-08-18: 32.2 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2131 2026-08-04: 29.1 ETH (27.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2131 2026-07-11: 35.0 ETH (32.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2131 2026-07-02: 32.4 ETH (30.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #7076 2026-06-13: 41.0 ETH (38.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2772 2026-05-16: 32.5 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-02-02: 11.3 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-08-08: 60.1 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2022-01-30: 89.9 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.