CryptoPunk #1849 valuation (beta)
Female, Black Lipstick, Dark Hair, Green Eye Shadow.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.6 ETH (about $71,775). 1σ range 29.9 to 33.3 ETH, 2σ range 28.3 to 35.2 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.9 to 33.3 ETH, 2σ range 28.3 to 35.2 ETH, confidence Low, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +3%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #4075 2026-10-08: 31.5 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4075 2026-09-23: 33.6 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4075 2026-09-20: 29.7 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9691 2026-06-05: 30.8 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1940 2026-04-26: 29.9 ETH (29.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6668 2026-02-20: 33.7 ETH (33.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1746 2026-02-07: 31.7 ETH (31.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6674 2026-01-19: 27.5 ETH (28.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-11-04: 105 ETH (sale)
- 2022-07-16: 80.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-01-21: 66.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-03-14: 66.7 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.