CryptoPunk #1853 valuation (beta)
Male, Front Beard Dark, Earring, Cap Forward.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 33.8 ETH (about $81,802). 1σ range 31.1 to 36.7 ETH, 2σ range 28.6 to 39.8 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 33.8 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.1 to 36.7 ETH, 2σ range 28.6 to 39.8 ETH, confidence Low, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Front Beard Dark -7%, Earring -2%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #7998 2026-09-22: 42.5 ETH (39.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9478 2026-08-24: 47.0 ETH (44.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8655 2026-07-04: 35.0 ETH (32.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #7998 2026-06-19: 36.0 ETH (33.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #768 2026-04-17: 34.0 ETH (38.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6042 2026-04-10: 92.5 ETH (100 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6188 2026-04-08: 28.9 ETH (31.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #7998 2026-04-04: 31.9 ETH (34.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2018-06-08: 0.07 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-21: 17.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-01: 34.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-04: 40.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.