CryptoPunk #1857 valuation (beta)
Female, Black Lipstick, Straight Hair Dark, Eye Mask.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.9 ETH (about $72,630). 1σ range 30.2 to 33.8 ETH, 2σ range 28.6 to 35.7 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.2 to 33.8 ETH, 2σ range 28.6 to 35.7 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +4%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8955 2026-10-18: 32.0 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8955 2026-09-23: 35.5 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2131 2026-09-01: 31.7 ETH (29.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2131 2026-08-18: 32.2 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2131 2026-08-04: 29.1 ETH (27.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2131 2026-07-11: 35.0 ETH (32.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2131 2026-07-02: 32.4 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8955 2026-06-10: 34.0 ETH (31.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2018-05-31: 0.07 ETH (sale)
- 2021-03-01: 35.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-30: 0.15 ETH (sale, not used: below-half-floor)
- 2021-12-03: 75.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-12-27: 75.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-01-28: 88.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-02-12: 83.5 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.