CryptoPunk #1863 valuation (beta)
Male, Front Beard Dark, Earring, Shaved Head, Eye Patch.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.3 ETH (about $71,148). 1σ range 28.6 to 34.3 ETH, 2σ range 26.1 to 37.5 ETH. Confidence: Medium. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 28.6 to 34.3 ETH, 2σ range 26.1 to 37.5 ETH, confidence Medium, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Front Beard Dark -7%, Earring -2%, Shaved Head -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #6188 2026-04-08: 28.9 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6188 2026-04-02: 28.3 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6193 2025-07-09: 41.0 ETH (29.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9542 2025-05-25: 53.0 ETH (33.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6193 2025-03-27: 41.0 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6193 2025-03-10: 38.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9585 2026-11-02: 31.0 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8427 2026-10-23: 29.4 ETH (28.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2024-06-18: 26.3 ETH (sale)
- 2024-06-18: 26.9 ETH (sale)
- 2024-08-12: 25.4 ETH (sale)
- 2025-09-14: 45.7 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.