CryptoPunk #1878 valuation (beta)
Male, Earring, Hoodie, Vape, Big Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 126 ETH (about $285,865). 1σ range 63.4 to 249 ETH, 2σ range 32.0 to 494 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 126 ETH (beta), 1σ range 63.4 to 249 ETH, 2σ range 32.0 to 494 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Earring -2%, Hoodie +238%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3739 2026-10-11: 33.5 ETH (31.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5942 2026-09-23: 37.0 ETH (32.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5133 2026-09-22: 34.0 ETH (31.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8359 2026-08-24: 125 ETH (116 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5942 2026-08-22: 34.5 ETH (32.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2311 2026-08-05: 269 ETH (254 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8949 2026-07-31: 35.0 ETH (32.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4256 2026-07-21: 33.4 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-04-14: 28.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-05-12: 88.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.