CryptoPunk #194 valuation (beta)
Male, Wild Hair, Clown Eyes Green.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 34.0 ETH (about $77,409). 1σ range 31.3 to 37.0 ETH, 2σ range 28.8 to 40.3 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 34.0 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.3 to 37.0 ETH, 2σ range 28.8 to 40.3 ETH, confidence High, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Clown Eyes Green -8%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #7132 2026-07-06: 34.0 ETH (31.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3295 2026-05-31: 33.8 ETH (31.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3295 2026-02-06: 29.9 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3295 2026-02-05: 30.0 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3425 2026-11-02: 27.6 ETH (27.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3662 2026-10-25: 30.0 ETH (29.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3662 2026-10-25: 29.1 ETH (28.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5448 2026-10-21: 60.0 ETH (57.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
None on record.
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.