CryptoPunk #203 valuation (beta)
Male, Front Beard, Messy Hair, Regular Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 35.4 ETH (about $80,416). 1σ range 32.3 to 38.8 ETH, 2σ range 29.5 to 42.5 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 42.0 ETH, 1.9σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 35.4 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.3 to 38.8 ETH, 2σ range 29.5 to 42.5 ETH, confidence High, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Front Beard -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #5975 2026-08-30: 34.5 ETH (32.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4523 2026-08-07: 58.0 ETH (53.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8205 2026-03-30: 31.5 ETH (32.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8205 2026-03-23: 30.2 ETH (31.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2956 2026-02-04: 29.4 ETH (32.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2956 2026-02-03: 28.0 ETH (31.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8739 2025-12-29: 47.0 ETH (52.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8739 2025-11-16: 40.0 ETH (38.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-04-08: 30.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-28: 150 ETH (sale)
- 2021-09-30: 121 ETH (sale)
- 2021-10-05: 129 ETH (sale)
- 2022-02-11: 74.9 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.