CryptoPunk #2158 valuation (beta)
Female, Hot Lipstick, Earring, Messy Hair, Purple Eye Shadow.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.2 ETH (about $70,873). 1σ range 29.5 to 32.9 ETH, 2σ range 28.0 to 34.8 ETH. Confidence: Medium. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.2 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.5 to 32.9 ETH, 2σ range 28.0 to 34.8 ETH, confidence Medium, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +4%, Purple Eye Shadow -2%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 4+ sales landed within ±3.4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.5% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #5295 2025-11-06: 50.0 ETH (42.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6637 2025-09-25: 44.9 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6637 2025-09-16: 46.0 ETH (28.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5295 2025-09-04: 49.0 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5295 2025-07-22: 53.0 ETH (33.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5295 2025-03-31: 45.0 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6370 2026-10-31: 36.0 ETH (35.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2486 2026-10-26: 29.0 ETH (28.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-05-15: 1.20 ETH (sale)
- 2020-12-22: 5.80 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-21: 21.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-02-13: 70.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-03-19: 69.9 ETH (sale)
- 2025-03-31: 45.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.