CryptoPunk #2202 valuation (beta)
Female, Hot Lipstick, Mole, Choker, Earring, Straight Hair, Classic Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 36.2 ETH (about $82,208). 1σ range 32.8 to 39.9 ETH, 2σ range 29.7 to 44.0 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 250 ETH, 19.8σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 36.2 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.8 to 39.9 ETH, 2σ range 29.7 to 44.0 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Choker +18%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 4+ sales landed within ±3.4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.5% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3190 2026-10-20: 29.0 ETH (27.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3190 2026-08-06: 34.0 ETH (31.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2120 2026-06-28: 100 ETH (92.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2903 2026-06-16: 32.7 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3190 2026-02-28: 30.9 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3190 2026-02-23: 29.0 ETH (29.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3190 2026-02-13: 30.0 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3190 2025-12-11: 27.0 ETH (27.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-08-08: 1.50 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2020-05-22: 15.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-04-07: 190 ETH (sale)
- 2024-12-04: 125 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.