CryptoPunk #2281 valuation (beta)
Female, Hot Lipstick, Earring, Mohawk, Cigarette, Purple Eye Shadow.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.5 ETH (about $69,293). 1σ range 28.9 to 32.2 ETH, 2σ range 27.3 to 34.0 ETH. Confidence: Medium. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.5 ETH (beta), 1σ range 28.9 to 32.2 ETH, 2σ range 27.3 to 34.0 ETH, confidence Medium, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +4%, Cigarette -2%, Purple Eye Shadow -2%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 4+ sales landed within ±3.4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.5% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #4065 2026-09-22: 32.4 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4319 2025-12-19: 26.0 ETH (29.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4319 2025-12-19: 25.5 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5108 2025-11-24: 36.0 ETH (34.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5295 2025-11-06: 50.0 ETH (42.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5295 2025-09-04: 49.0 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4319 2025-08-09: 54.7 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5295 2025-07-22: 53.0 ETH (33.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-03-12: 60.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-03-25: 50.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-07-31: 70.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-06: 95.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-06-20: 82.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-07-11: 95.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.