CryptoPunk #2378 valuation (beta)
Male, Mole, Handlebars, Wild Hair.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 33.4 ETH (about $80,913). 1σ range 30.8 to 36.2 ETH, 2σ range 28.4 to 39.3 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 02:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 76.5 ETH, 10.2σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 33.4 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.8 to 36.2 ETH, 2σ range 28.4 to 39.3 ETH, confidence High, as of 02:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 02:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Mole -7%, Handlebars -6%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3425 2026-11-02: 27.6 ETH (27.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3425 2026-07-30: 33.0 ETH (31.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #7461 2026-06-27: 50.0 ETH (46.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8632 2026-05-16: 45.0 ETH (41.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3425 2026-03-27: 27.3 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6012 2026-01-20: 44.4 ETH (49.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2211 2026-01-02: 27.1 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8002 2025-12-31: 26.3 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2018-09-02: 0.10 ETH (sale)
- 2019-02-05: 0.32 ETH (sale)
- 2020-12-22: 4.20 ETH (sale)
- 2021-01-11: 4.70 ETH (sale)
- 2022-09-29: 66.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-03-17: 75.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.