CryptoPunk #2393 valuation (beta)
Female, Black Lipstick, Red Mohawk.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 37.9 ETH (about $86,116). 1σ range 33.7 to 42.6 ETH, 2σ range 30.0 to 47.9 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 100.0 ETH, 8.3σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 37.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.7 to 42.6 ETH, 2σ range 30.0 to 47.9 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +23%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #5731 2025-10-04: 48.1 ETH (29.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5731 2025-10-04: 47.5 ETH (29.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1706 2025-08-10: 55.5 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4637 2025-06-23: 41.0 ETH (31.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4637 2025-06-20: 39.5 ETH (29.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5731 2025-02-24: 34.5 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7727 2024-12-01: 44.0 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2380 2024-11-15: 37.0 ETH (29.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-08-28: 150 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.