CryptoPunk #2412 valuation (beta)
Male, Front Beard, Cap Forward, Classic Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 34.6 ETH (about $78,614). 1σ range 31.7 to 37.7 ETH, 2σ range 29.1 to 41.1 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 34.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.7 to 37.7 ETH, 2σ range 29.1 to 41.1 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Front Beard -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #7646 2025-10-06: 48.5 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7646 2025-10-04: 48.5 ETH (29.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6412 2025-07-20: 48.0 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9026 2025-02-03: 40.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9026 2025-01-24: 45.0 ETH (33.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6435 2024-12-08: 39.0 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7332 2024-11-16: 40.5 ETH (32.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7332 2024-11-15: 40.0 ETH (31.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-12-13: 0.13 ETH (sale)
- 2024-02-10: 65.0 ETH (sale)
- 2024-08-19: 26.7 ETH (sale)
- 2024-08-22: 30.0 ETH (sale)
- 2024-09-29: 34.9 ETH (sale)
- 2026-03-25: 31.5 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.