CryptoPunk #2418 valuation (beta)
Female, Messy Hair, 3D Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 46.6 ETH (about $106,051). 1σ range 37.6 to 57.8 ETH, 2σ range 30.3 to 71.7 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 89.0 ETH, 3.0σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 46.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 37.6 to 57.8 ETH, 2σ range 30.3 to 71.7 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +4%, 3D Glasses +46%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1626 2024-11-08: 37.0 ETH (42.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2651 2026-10-06: 50.0 ETH (45.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7916 2026-10-05: 33.6 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5361 2026-07-02: 55.0 ETH (51.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4294 2026-07-01: 50.0 ETH (48.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5117 2026-02-27: 29.0 ETH (29.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5117 2026-02-26: 29.0 ETH (29.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5117 2026-02-12: 28.3 ETH (28.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-08-27: 145 ETH (sale)
- 2022-07-17: 146 ETH (sale)
- 2024-04-21: 48.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2024-09-24: 46.9 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.