CryptoPunk #2426 valuation (beta)
Female, Earring, Tiara, Green Eye Shadow.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 54.6 ETH (about $124,059). 1σ range 40.7 to 73.1 ETH, 2σ range 30.4 to 97.8 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 280 ETH, 5.6σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 54.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 40.7 to 73.1 ETH, 2σ range 30.4 to 97.8 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +4%, Tiara +71%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3637 2026-09-17: 29.4 ETH (29.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7663 2026-04-04: 32.0 ETH (34.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1746 2026-02-07: 31.7 ETH (31.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5734 2026-02-05: 46.0 ETH (46.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6674 2026-01-19: 27.5 ETH (28.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1746 2025-12-22: 27.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1746 2025-12-22: 25.1 ETH (27.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8539 2025-12-22: 27.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-02-15: 69.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-05-23: 60.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-08-01: 125 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-23: 275 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.