CryptoPunk #2440 valuation (beta)
Male, Stringy Hair, Clown Nose.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.2 ETH (about $75,697). 1σ range 28.8 to 33.9 ETH, 2σ range 26.5 to 36.8 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 02:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 187 ETH, 21.8σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.2 ETH (beta), 1σ range 28.8 to 33.9 ETH, 2σ range 26.5 to 36.8 ETH, confidence Low, as of 02:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 02:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Stringy Hair -9%, Clown Nose -6%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #4059 2026-09-23: 34.5 ETH (30.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4059 2026-08-05: 30.4 ETH (29.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4059 2026-07-26: 33.5 ETH (31.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4059 2026-07-14: 30.1 ETH (28.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5674 2026-01-02: 27.3 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5674 2024-11-30: 41.0 ETH (31.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4059 2024-11-11: 29.9 ETH (30.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9585 2026-11-02: 31.0 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-04-14: 25.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-05-28: 16.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-06-23: 12.6 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-06-26: 16.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-13: 21.9 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-21: 22.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-27: 95.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-28: 110 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-28: 124 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.