CryptoPunk #2451 valuation (beta)
Male, Mohawk Thin, Cigarette, Big Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.2 ETH (about $68,773). 1σ range 27.7 to 33.0 ETH, 2σ range 25.4 to 36.0 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.2 ETH (beta), 1σ range 27.7 to 33.0 ETH, 2σ range 25.4 to 36.0 ETH, confidence High, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Mohawk Thin -11%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3739 2026-10-11: 33.5 ETH (31.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3739 2026-07-04: 34.0 ETH (31.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5459 2026-07-04: 33.9 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3860 2026-07-02: 42.0 ETH (39.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9953 2026-06-18: 165 ETH (151 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1393 2026-05-23: 33.0 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8870 2026-05-19: 130 ETH (115 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3478 2026-04-26: 30.7 ETH (29.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-01-07: 0.60 ETH (sale)
- 2020-03-08: 0.70 ETH (sale)
- 2020-05-28: 1.47 ETH (sale)
- 2020-09-14: 1.95 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-28: 105 ETH (sale)
- 2021-12-06: 106 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2024-08-06: 25.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-05-18: 45.9 ETH (sale)
- 2025-05-23: 48.7 ETH (sale)
- 2025-07-20: 43.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.