CryptoPunk #2474 valuation (beta)
Male, Mole, Earring, Peak Spike, Nerd Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 32.7 ETH (about $74,349). 1σ range 29.9 to 35.7 ETH, 2σ range 27.4 to 39.1 ETH. Confidence: Medium. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 32.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.9 to 35.7 ETH, 2σ range 27.4 to 39.1 ETH, confidence Medium, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Mole -7%, Earring -2%, Peak Spike -6%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2124 2026-03-21: 28.8 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2124 2026-03-13: 28.4 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2124 2025-11-14: 33.0 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2835 2025-10-09: 51.5 ETH (31.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #735 2024-12-11: 68.0 ETH (51.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3425 2026-11-02: 27.6 ETH (27.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9018 2026-10-29: 30.0 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9404 2026-10-25: 29.5 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-04-03: 16.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-07: 23.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-06-29: 18.8 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.