CryptoPunk #2499 valuation (beta)
Male, Normal Beard Black, Earring, Wild Hair.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 39.6 ETH (about $90,100). 1σ range 34.8 to 45.1 ETH, 2σ range 30.6 to 51.3 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 98.0 ETH, 7.0σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 39.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 34.8 to 45.1 ETH, 2σ range 30.6 to 51.3 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +20%, Earring -2%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9585 2026-11-02: 31.0 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3425 2026-11-02: 27.6 ETH (27.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8427 2026-10-23: 29.4 ETH (28.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1941 2026-09-23: 60.5 ETH (53.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8816 2026-09-03: 33.9 ETH (33.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3425 2026-07-30: 33.0 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7132 2026-07-06: 34.0 ETH (31.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8344 2026-05-19: 50.0 ETH (44.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-07-14: 34.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-25: 148 ETH (sale)
- 2022-08-03: 106 ETH (sale)
- 2022-10-20: 103 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.