CryptoPunk #2538 valuation (beta)
Male, Front Beard, Shaved Head, Horned Rim Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 29.1 ETH (about $66,220). 1σ range 26.5 to 32.1 ETH, 2σ range 24.0 to 35.3 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 29.1 ETH (beta), 1σ range 26.5 to 32.1 ETH, 2σ range 24.0 to 35.3 ETH, confidence High, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Front Beard -7%, Shaved Head -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8246 2026-09-22: 32.0 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2989 2026-02-08: 30.0 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2989 2025-11-23: 29.5 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3181 2025-09-03: 48.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9218 2025-06-26: 39.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3440 2025-03-27: 42.2 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3440 2024-11-23: 37.9 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2965 2024-11-14: 36.7 ETH (33.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-09-11: 1.50 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.