CryptoPunk #254 valuation (beta)
Male, Fedora.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 43.9 ETH (about $99,715). 1σ range 33.9 to 56.8 ETH, 2σ range 26.2 to 73.5 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 43.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.9 to 56.8 ETH, 2σ range 26.2 to 73.5 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, 1 attribute (vs 3) +15%.
- In the backtest, Male 0-1 sales landed within ±7.8% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±27.5% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2303 2026-11-02: 33.0 ETH (32.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7368 2026-09-24: 39.9 ETH (35.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #769 2026-07-03: 36.0 ETH (33.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2303 2026-06-11: 33.0 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7036 2026-06-05: 31.5 ETH (29.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8155 2026-05-24: 40.0 ETH (36.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6906 2026-05-13: 34.9 ETH (35.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4953 2026-05-11: 34.3 ETH (34.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
None on record.
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.