CryptoPunk #2586 valuation (beta)
Male, Front Beard Dark, Mohawk, Eye Patch.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 32.7 ETH (about $74,332). 1σ range 30.2 to 35.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.9 to 38.4 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 32.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.2 to 35.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.9 to 38.4 ETH, confidence High, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Front Beard Dark -7%, Mohawk -8%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #5394 2026-10-30: 35.0 ETH (36.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3150 2026-04-27: 29.9 ETH (29.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3150 2026-04-13: 26.1 ETH (29.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3150 2026-03-26: 29.0 ETH (29.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3150 2026-03-24: 27.3 ETH (27.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7717 2026-02-03: 31.0 ETH (34.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3150 2025-12-17: 26.9 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3150 2025-11-23: 29.9 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2018-06-08: 0.15 ETH (sale)
- 2020-10-04: 4.00 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-02-21: 18.9 ETH (sale)
- 2021-03-04: 22.9 ETH (sale)
- 2024-01-19: 58.4 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.