CryptoPunk #263 valuation (beta)
Male, Muttonchops, Messy Hair.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 35.5 ETH (about $80,787). 1σ range 32.4 to 39.0 ETH, 2σ range 29.5 to 42.8 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 35.5 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.4 to 39.0 ETH, 2σ range 29.5 to 42.8 ETH, confidence High, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +20%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Muttonchops -9%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2167 2026-09-09: 28.2 ETH (28.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2167 2026-09-05: 28.3 ETH (28.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2167 2026-04-22: 28.3 ETH (29.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8343 2025-12-01: 28.4 ETH (27.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7885 2025-11-19: 30.9 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2167 2025-09-15: 48.4 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8832 2025-04-14: 53.7 ETH (38.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8832 2025-02-10: 40.3 ETH (33.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-08-25: 107 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.