CryptoPunk #2634 valuation (beta)
Female, Purple Lipstick, Red Mohawk.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.9 ETH (about $72,630). 1σ range 30.2 to 33.8 ETH, 2σ range 28.6 to 35.7 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 138 ETH, 26.3σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.2 to 33.8 ETH, 2σ range 28.6 to 35.7 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +4%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #6570 2026-08-24: 34.5 ETH (31.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3648 2026-02-06: 40.9 ETH (41.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3995 2025-09-19: 48.7 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3995 2025-09-19: 47.0 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3995 2025-09-17: 48.0 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3995 2025-09-02: 45.0 ETH (29.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3995 2025-08-24: 47.8 ETH (28.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8635 2025-08-22: 49.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-02-15: 12.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-22: 26.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-23: 60.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-28: 114 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-28: 121 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-28: 137 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.