CryptoPunk #2653 valuation (beta)
Male, Handlebars, Earring, Do-rag, Horned Rim Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 35.2 ETH (about $79,920). 1σ range 31.9 to 38.8 ETH, 2σ range 28.9 to 42.8 ETH. Confidence: Medium. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 35.2 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.9 to 38.8 ETH, 2σ range 28.9 to 42.8 ETH, confidence Medium, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +20%, Handlebars -6%, Earring -2%, Do-rag -6%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3067 2025-03-24: 52.0 ETH (37.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3067 2025-03-10: 39.0 ETH (30.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3067 2025-03-05: 36.9 ETH (29.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9018 2026-10-29: 30.0 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3378 2026-10-14: 33.0 ETH (31.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2224 2026-10-02: 33.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2996 2026-09-21: 31.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2224 2026-09-21: 29.6 ETH (28.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-02-19: 16.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-26: 23.9 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-12: 26.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-07: 56.4 ETH (sale)
- 2022-04-25: 64.4 ETH (sale)
- 2022-06-26: 72.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-07-09: 76.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-10-06: 68.8 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.