CryptoPunk #2657 valuation (beta)
Male, Smile, Fedora, Pipe, Regular Shades, Clown Nose.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 41.8 ETH (about $95,056). 1σ range 35.8 to 48.9 ETH, 2σ range 30.6 to 57.1 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 200 ETH, 10.0σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 41.8 ETH (beta), 1σ range 35.8 to 48.9 ETH, 2σ range 30.6 to 57.1 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Smile +17%, Clown Nose -6%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #6906 2026-05-13: 34.9 ETH (35.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9659 2026-05-06: 38.9 ETH (37.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6530 2026-04-09: 37.3 ETH (39.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8530 2025-10-31: 54.0 ETH (43.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #267 2025-09-17: 47.5 ETH (29.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #267 2025-08-11: 56.0 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9659 2025-08-08: 61.0 ETH (34.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #267 2025-07-31: 53.8 ETH (31.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
None on record.
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.