CryptoPunk #2741 valuation (beta)
Female, Orange Side, Nerd Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 39.0 ETH (about $88,775). 1σ range 34.3 to 44.5 ETH, 2σ range 30.1 to 50.7 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 500 ETH, 19.5σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 39.0 ETH (beta), 1σ range 34.3 to 44.5 ETH, 2σ range 30.1 to 50.7 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Orange Side +27%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2994 2026-10-20: 29.0 ETH (27.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9670 2026-10-06: 40.0 ETH (36.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2651 2026-10-06: 50.0 ETH (45.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9310 2026-09-23: 38.7 ETH (34.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9310 2026-09-21: 30.2 ETH (29.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9912 2026-09-18: 35.0 ETH (35.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5541 2026-08-23: 50.5 ETH (47.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5168 2026-07-06: 40.0 ETH (37.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2024-09-11: 34.9 ETH (sale)
- 2025-03-07: 44.7 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.