CryptoPunk #278 valuation (beta)
Female, Black Lipstick, Straight Hair Dark.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 37.9 ETH (about $86,116). 1σ range 33.7 to 42.6 ETH, 2σ range 30.0 to 47.9 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 37.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.7 to 42.6 ETH, 2σ range 30.0 to 47.9 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +23%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9884 2026-01-24: 30.8 ETH (33.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9884 2026-01-05: 30.0 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9884 2026-01-04: 29.7 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3724 2025-10-25: 38.0 ETH (29.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9884 2025-10-04: 50.0 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8089 2025-03-29: 42.7 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8089 2025-01-14: 39.5 ETH (29.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1721 2026-11-03: 33.8 ETH (33.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
None on record.
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.