CryptoPunk #2794 valuation (beta)
Male, Messy Hair, Cigarette, 3D Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 67.2 ETH (about $152,751). 1σ range 46.2 to 97.6 ETH, 2σ range 31.8 to 142 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 67.2 ETH (beta), 1σ range 46.2 to 97.6 ETH, 2σ range 31.8 to 142 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, 3D Glasses +76%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #6634 2026-05-04: 205 ETH (199 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8343 2025-12-01: 28.4 ETH (27.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8109 2025-10-06: 49.5 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8109 2025-09-23: 47.0 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9184 2025-07-24: 52.5 ETH (31.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8109 2025-07-14: 44.7 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8109 2025-07-13: 43.0 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6634 2025-03-19: 223 ETH (174 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
None on record.
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.