CryptoPunk #2806 valuation (beta)
Male, Goat, Purple Hair.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 34.1 ETH (about $82,646). 1σ range 31.4 to 37.1 ETH, 2σ range 28.8 to 40.4 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 43.7 ETH, 2.9σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 34.1 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.4 to 37.1 ETH, 2σ range 28.8 to 40.4 ETH, confidence Low, as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Goat -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1192 2025-07-30: 58.0 ETH (32.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5793 2025-01-20: 44.0 ETH (35.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5793 2024-11-30: 42.1 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8233 2026-11-02: 31.4 ETH (31.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8233 2026-10-28: 30.5 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #1424 2026-10-20: 53.0 ETH (51.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #1241 2026-10-03: 35.2 ETH (32.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2224 2026-10-02: 33.0 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-04-29: 25.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-05-12: 27.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-09-27: 134 ETH (sale)
- 2022-06-18: 70.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-08-02: 82.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-01-07: 79.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-12-29: 26.9 ETH (sale)
- 2026-02-01: 30.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.