CryptoPunk #281 valuation (beta)
Male, no attributes.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 38.2 ETH (about $86,741). 1σ range 30.5 to 47.8 ETH, 2σ range 24.3 to 59.8 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 38.2 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.5 to 47.8 ETH, 2σ range 24.3 to 59.8 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%.
- In the backtest, Male 0-1 sales landed within ±7.8% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±27.5% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #741 2025-04-20: 317 ETH (228 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-07-03: 1.10 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.