CryptoPunk #2846 valuation (beta)
Female, Black Lipstick, Messy Hair.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.6 ETH (about $71,775). 1σ range 29.9 to 33.3 ETH, 2σ range 28.3 to 35.2 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.9 to 33.3 ETH, 2σ range 28.3 to 35.2 ETH, confidence High, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +3%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2651 2026-10-06: 50.0 ETH (45.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5117 2026-02-27: 29.0 ETH (29.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5117 2026-02-26: 29.0 ETH (29.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5117 2026-02-12: 28.3 ETH (28.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3557 2025-12-24: 24.9 ETH (27.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3557 2025-08-14: 50.0 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7155 2025-08-05: 52.5 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7155 2025-08-04: 50.5 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2018-11-17: 0.14 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.