CryptoPunk #2856 valuation (beta)
Male, Peak Spike, Pipe, Eye Mask.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 35.1 ETH (about $85,092). 1σ range 32.1 to 38.4 ETH, 2σ range 29.4 to 42.0 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 35.1 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.1 to 38.4 ETH, 2σ range 29.4 to 42.0 ETH, confidence High, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Peak Spike -6%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8557 2026-09-11: 32.3 ETH (33.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2235 2026-09-24: 36.0 ETH (32.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4986 2026-06-08: 50.0 ETH (46.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5455 2026-04-26: 32.0 ETH (31.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8990 2026-02-24: 35.0 ETH (35.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2235 2026-01-16: 30.0 ETH (31.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2235 2026-01-14: 26.8 ETH (28.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5455 2025-11-24: 30.0 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2018-01-15: 0.10 ETH (sale)
- 2020-05-20: 1.00 ETH (sale)
- 2020-09-11: 1.50 ETH (sale)
- 2020-10-29: 3.72 ETH (sale)
- 2020-12-22: 4.19 ETH (sale)
- 2021-01-10: 4.50 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-08: 6.49 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-02-22: 27.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.