CryptoPunk #286 valuation (beta)
Male, Goat, Wild Hair.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 36.3 ETH (about $82,514). 1σ range 32.9 to 40.0 ETH, 2σ range 29.8 to 44.2 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 36.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.9 to 40.0 ETH, 2σ range 29.8 to 44.2 ETH, confidence High, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +20%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Goat -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1923 2026-06-25: 34.6 ETH (32.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1923 2026-06-25: 30.7 ETH (29.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8233 2026-11-02: 31.4 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3425 2026-11-02: 27.6 ETH (27.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8233 2026-10-28: 30.5 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5448 2026-10-21: 60.0 ETH (57.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1424 2026-10-20: 53.0 ETH (50.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1349 2026-10-13: 38.7 ETH (37.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2022-05-04: 63.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-06-19: 75.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-06-26: 70.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-07-10: 85.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-12-27: 69.9 ETH (sale)
- 2023-01-28: 74.7 ETH (sale)
- 2023-06-08: 54.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-07-07: 53.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-06-07: 48.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-07-20: 47.2 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.