CryptoPunk #2862 valuation (beta)
Male, Muttonchops, Headband.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 33.4 ETH (about $75,924). 1σ range 30.8 to 36.2 ETH, 2σ range 28.4 to 39.3 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 300 ETH, 26.9σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 33.4 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.8 to 36.2 ETH, 2σ range 28.4 to 39.3 ETH, confidence High, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Muttonchops -9%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #7232 2026-04-22: 29.6 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7232 2026-04-21: 26.0 ETH (27.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9589 2024-11-06: 28.9 ETH (33.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9589 2024-11-05: 26.8 ETH (32.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3391 2026-11-02: 30.0 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3662 2026-10-25: 30.0 ETH (29.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9404 2026-10-25: 29.5 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3662 2026-10-25: 29.1 ETH (28.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2019-01-07: 0.30 ETH (sale)
- 2019-04-12: 0.35 ETH (sale)
- 2021-01-26: 4.90 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-22: 24.5 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.