CryptoPunk #2863 valuation (beta)
Male, Silver Chain, Police Cap.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 32.7 ETH (about $74,337). 1σ range 30.2 to 35.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.9 to 38.4 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 32.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.2 to 35.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.9 to 38.4 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9618 2025-07-20: 48.0 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6687 2026-10-16: 43.5 ETH (42.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5635 2026-10-04: 33.4 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5635 2026-09-29: 32.3 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5635 2026-09-29: 31.2 ETH (27.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9449 2026-09-22: 33.9 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9449 2026-09-22: 33.0 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9449 2026-09-19: 29.1 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-08-16: 48.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-20: 55.3 ETH (sale)
- 2021-09-17: 125 ETH (sale)
- 2021-10-31: 119 ETH (sale)
- 2021-11-15: 93.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-11-18: 96.9 ETH (sale)
- 2023-11-08: 54.5 ETH (sale)
- 2024-11-15: 37.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-07-18: 42.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-07-20: 46.4 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.