CryptoPunk #2864 valuation (beta)
Male, Mustache, Knitted Cap, Eye Mask.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 37.3 ETH (about $90,377). 1σ range 33.5 to 41.5 ETH, 2σ range 30.1 to 46.2 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 37.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.5 to 41.5 ETH, 2σ range 30.1 to 46.2 ETH, confidence High, as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1839 2026-09-04: 162 ETH (160 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9915 2025-06-19: 46.8 ETH (34.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9915 2025-06-16: 43.5 ETH (31.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3017 2024-12-23: 47.0 ETH (35.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #7440 2026-11-01: 40.4 ETH (40.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2473 2026-10-31: 38.0 ETH (38.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5579 2026-10-30: 38.0 ETH (40.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4202 2026-10-29: 40.0 ETH (41.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-02-17: 15.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-21: 22.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-05-24: 16.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.