CryptoPunk #2865 valuation (beta)
Male, Handlebars, Fedora.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.7 ETH (about $69,769). 1σ range 28.2 to 33.4 ETH, 2σ range 25.9 to 36.3 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 28.2 to 33.4 ETH, 2σ range 25.9 to 36.3 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Handlebars -6%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9538 2025-11-28: 32.7 ETH (31.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1228 2025-06-11: 52.0 ETH (35.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9538 2025-05-25: 55.0 ETH (34.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8259 2024-12-29: 41.0 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2303 2026-11-02: 33.0 ETH (32.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9018 2026-10-29: 30.0 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3378 2026-10-14: 33.0 ETH (31.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7368 2026-09-24: 39.9 ETH (35.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2018-12-16: 0.30 ETH (sale)
- 2022-04-04: 72.0 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.