CryptoPunk #2878 valuation (beta)
Male, Peak Spike, Pipe, Clown Eyes Blue.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 29.4 ETH (about $71,303). 1σ range 26.8 to 32.3 ETH, 2σ range 24.4 to 35.5 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 29.4 ETH (beta), 1σ range 26.8 to 32.3 ETH, 2σ range 24.4 to 35.5 ETH, confidence High, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Peak Spike -6%, Clown Eyes Blue -8%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8557 2026-09-11: 32.3 ETH (33.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5455 2026-04-26: 32.0 ETH (31.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8990 2026-02-24: 35.0 ETH (35.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5455 2025-11-24: 30.0 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5455 2025-08-09: 54.9 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #1026 2025-08-09: 54.2 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2745 2025-07-15: 50.0 ETH (38.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #1026 2024-11-14: 33.0 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-03-31: 18.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-04-12: 23.9 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-21: 22.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-29: 24.3 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.