CryptoPunk #2921 valuation (beta)
Male, Shaved Head, Cigarette.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 33.4 ETH (about $75,834). 1σ range 30.7 to 36.2 ETH, 2σ range 28.3 to 39.2 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 33.4 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.7 to 36.2 ETH, 2σ range 28.3 to 39.2 ETH, confidence High, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Shaved Head -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8671 2025-11-26: 37.0 ETH (36.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8682 2025-09-28: 45.0 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4717 2025-08-12: 58.0 ETH (32.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5973 2025-06-11: 45.0 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2056 2025-04-17: 53.0 ETH (37.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3579 2024-11-12: 34.8 ETH (35.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3425 2026-11-02: 27.6 ETH (27.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3391 2026-11-02: 30.0 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-06-01: 1.35 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-18: 12.8 ETH (sale)
- 2021-03-13: 22.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-28: 100 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-28: 111 ETH (sale)
- 2021-10-30: 121 ETH (sale)
- 2023-01-31: 70.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-07-28: 54.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.