CryptoPunk #2953 valuation (beta)
Male, Normal Beard Black, Wild Hair, Vape, Regular Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 37.3 ETH (about $84,798). 1σ range 33.3 to 41.8 ETH, 2σ range 29.7 to 46.8 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 37.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.3 to 41.8 ETH, 2σ range 29.7 to 46.8 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #6489 2026-10-02: 45.0 ETH (40.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3606 2026-07-21: 36.5 ETH (34.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1923 2026-06-25: 34.6 ETH (32.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1923 2026-06-25: 30.7 ETH (29.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7950 2026-01-12: 32.0 ETH (32.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #750 2025-08-22: 47.3 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #750 2025-08-18: 47.5 ETH (29.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #750 2025-08-09: 54.5 ETH (29.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2019-05-07: 1.00 ETH (sale)
- 2020-09-25: 3.99 ETH (sale)
- 2020-10-07: 4.90 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2020-10-08: 6.99 ETH (sale)
- 2021-09-29: 116 ETH (sale)
- 2021-10-01: 170 ETH (sale)
- 2021-11-22: 150 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.